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Viche 2007 17

17, 2007

Virtual and real orientations of electors

With approaching of electioneering the information of sociological services, which have never existed, begins to be spread in the Internet (I do not call them in order not to do the excess advertisement to pseudo-sociological services and centers. By request they can be easily found in the Internet, especially in the Russian sites). Correspondingly the information of sociological researches, which have never been carried out, is promulgated. It is worth mentioning that not only ratings of separate political forces, but also concrete questions of ways and directions of public development are falsified in these researches.

The biggest number of falsifications is in the question of independent development of the state.

 

Developed as the independent state     43,2

United in a union with Russia and Byelorussia   25,3

Created a new union

with most post soviet republics 7,3

Became the member of NATO            4,0

Became the member of UE      14,5

Other   0,4

It is difficult to answer  3,6

There is no answer       1,7

 

The second myth concerns the attitude of population of the country toward pre-term parliamentary elections. So according to the data of Allukrainian sociological service, on the question do you support the decision of the President about conducting the pre-term elections to the Verkhovna Rada? respondents answered the following.

 

% of respondents

Unambiguously yes      29,7

Probably yes    21,9

Probably no     18,2

Unambiguously no        22,8

It is difficult to answer  6,7

There is no answer       0,6

 

The third attempt to give out the desired for the real by virtual sociology is the following thesis: if presidential elections took place today, Victor Yanukovych would unambiguously win, as he has the greatest rating among politicians.

 

% of respondents

Vitrenko Nataliya         3,2

Yuriy Lutsenko            3,6

Lytvyn Volodymyr       4,4

Moroz Oleksandr        3,1

Petro Symonenko        5,5

Tymoshenko Yuliya     18,7

Yushchenko Victor      13,4

Yanukovych Victor      27,5

Other   5,0

It is difficult to answer  14,9

There is no answer       0,7

 

These are the answers of respondents on the question If presidential elections took place today, who would you vote for? in the July questioning of Allukrainian sociological service (we do not see in absolute terms the results got by our service, but plus-minus 35 % practically change nothing in correlation of chances of victory of anyone among political leaders in future presidential competitions).

 

% of respondents

Vitrenko Nataliya         3,2

Yuriy Lytsenko            3,6

Lytvyn Volodymyr       4,4

Moroz Oleksandr        3,1

Petro Symonenko        5,5

Yuliya Tymoshenko     18,7

Yushchenko Victor      13,4

Yanukovych Victor      27,5

Other   5,0

It is difficult to answer  14,9

There is no answer       0,7

 

The fourth mystification is the problem of grant the state or official status to Russian language in the Russian-speaking regions of the country. We will show the results of answers of respondents on the question In what way, do you think, the question of Russian language should be settled in Ukraine?.

 

% of respondents

Everything should be remained as it is now       46,0

To give the official status to Russian language

in the Russian-speaking regions of the country  22,6

To give the status of the second state language

 to Russian language     23,4

Other   1,5

It is difficult to answer  5,0

There is no answer       1,5

 

Below we show the results of answers of respondents on the question How do you estimate the last initiatives of the President concerning the abolition of deputy inviolability (immunity) and privileges for the deputies of the Verkhovna Rada?.

 

% of respondents

Ambiguously positively 55,1

Probably positively than negatively       27,5

Probably negatively than positively       5,5

Ambiguously negatively            3,8

It is difficult to answer  7,4

There is no answer       0,7

 

Estimation of activity of officials and organs of power by respondents

 

number            Positive            Negative          Positive            Negative          Difference

1          President          510      1222    20,40   -48,88 -28,48

2          Verkhovna Rada          296      1385    11,84   -55,40 -43,56

3          Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada O. Moroz    361     1429    14,44   -57,16 -42,72

4          Cabinet of Ministers     505      1098    20,20   -43,92 -23,72

5          Prime Minister V. Yanukovych            750      1103    30,00   -44,12 -14,12

6          Chairman of the Secretariat of the President V.Baloga  260  1195       10,40   -47,80 -37,40

7          Ex-premier of the Government Y. Tymoshenko           620      1300    24,80   -52,00 -27,20

8          Head of the Regional State Administration       445      892      17,80   -35,68 -17,88

9          Chairman of the Regional Board 422   881      16,88   -35,24 -18,36

10        Mayor  586      853      23,44   -34,12 -10,68

 

One more reaction for non-fulfillment of pre-election promises by politicians is a considerable change of the political orientations by the population (see a conclusion below, where there are answers to the question Did your political views change for the last year?).

 

% of respondents

Changed essentially      15,0

Changed a little            29,0

Did not change 48,3

It is difficult to answer  6,3

There is no answer       1,3

 

Besides they changed not in direction of a certain political force, but as distrust to all functioning political forces (see the conclusion, where there are answers to the question If they changed, then in what direction?).

 

%  of respondents

I was the supporter of orange,

and became the supporter of coalition majority 5,16

I was the supporter of coalition majority,

and became the supporter of orange 3,92

I am disappointed with the first and the second,

I expect that a new honest political force

will appear    15,68

I believe nobody,

all politicians deceive people    19,60

Other   5,04

It is difficult to answer  16,60

There is no answer       34,00

Borys SAGALKOV, Anastasiya SAGALKOVA